In the latest series of polls conducted after the September 10 presidential debate, former President Donald Trump has maintained a slight lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in the critical swing state of Georgia.

​​​​​​​Despite the close race, with margins not surpassing error thresholds thus keeping the candidates in a statistical tie, Trump has consistently edged out Harris in several key surveys. RealClear Politics’ aggregate data from September 4-24 shows Trump with a narrow advantage at 48.9% to Harris’s 46.7%. Similarly, Project 538's compilation indicates Trump leading by a margin of 48.4% to 47.2%.

The most recent polling data from Marist Poll, conducted from last Thursday through Tuesday among 1,220 likely voters, presents Trump with a one-point lead at 50% against Harris's 49%, within a margin of error of plus or minus 3.9%.

The poll highlights demographic divides: independent voters favored Harris over Trump by a margin of 51% to 46%, Black voters showed overwhelming support for Harris at 86% to Trump’s 13%, and white voters preferred Trump by a significant margin (66%-34%). Gender differences were also notable; women leaned towards Harris (54%-44%), while men favored Trump (56%-42%). The youngest voting generations, Generation Z and Millennials, showed more support for Harris, giving her a six-point advantage over Trump.

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Among the issues deemed most important by voters, inflation topped the list at 34%, followed by preserving democracy at 24%, immigration at 13%, and abortion rights at 11%. The only survey post-debate that indicated an even split between Harris and Trump was conducted by American Greatness/TIPP, showing both candidates at an equal footing with 48%, within a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5% among its sample of 935 likely voters.

Historically speaking, Georgia was narrowly lost by Trump in the previous election cycle—securing 49.5% of votes to his Democratic contenders' (Joe Biden and Kamala Harris) winning share of approximately half (49.3%)—marking it as one of the pivotal states that contributed to Biden's Electoral College victory.

Comparatively, during the elections five years ago, Trump had secured Georgia with a more comfortable margin over Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine. As Election Day draws nearer, now just over five weeks away, the battleground state's role is increasingly under scrutiny as both parties vie for its crucial electoral votes amidst this tightly contested race.

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